The 2016 budget has made changes to the withdrawal and taxation rules related to EPF contributions. Tax rules on EPF and NPS are still being clarified as I write this post, and there is hope that changed rules will be brought into place that will make EPF and perhaps even NPS EEE schemes - i.e. Exempt from tax at investment, Exempt from tax on returns generated, and finally Exempt from tax on withdrawal. We will get away from taxation, but there are other very onerous requirements that are being missed. EPF withdrawals have been made impossible till 58 years of age, for instance.
Both the NPS and the EPF are great products, even if the new taxation rules apply. There are however four things that make these schemes extremely dangerous and should be kept in mind before one invests.
First, these products assume that a person will not retire until 60 years of age. In today's world that is no longer a viable assumption. Many of us will be forced to retire by 45 simply because there will be no other employment opportunities worth pursuing. It is also possible that many of us will simply not have the will to keep up with the grind of corporate employment at enormous personal cost. India is a young country and the pressure from an ever younger workforce will make it difficult to sustain a long term career, or to survive a layoff in the late thirties or early forties.
An early retirement will lock you out of your NPS and EPF funds for 10 to 15 years, from when you retire at 45 to when you get access to the funds when you are 60 years of age. How will a person finance such a gap? How will a person handle critical funding requirements such as a child's education or wedding or house purchase or a financial emergency that occur from 45 to 60 years of age? The avenues are other investments or personal loans.
Second, lump sum withdrawal from EPF and NPS are tough and will be made yet tougher and more taxable in the future. These funds can no longer be used to finance critical lifetime milestones such as buying a house or financing a child's education or wedding. They are also not very useful in managing an emergency requirement for large sums.
Third, you will be forced into buying an annuity using the corpus created in NPS and EPF. An annuity is an insurance guaranteed return on money irrespective of interest rates. You pay a large sum of money to an insurance company - say Rs. 1 crore, and they pay you back a monthly amount, which, currently, would be about Rs. 50,000 per month. Annuity products are provided by the Life Insurance industry and this industry has a very patchy customer service reputation. Simply put - all the benefits you make through EPF and NPS could be appropriated by your annuity provider by giving you a bad annuity product. And you will not have a choice to say no. To be a captive customer to India's life insurers is the stuff nightmares are made of.
Fourth, NPS and EPF funds are completely government regulated. You have little or no control over what changes may come about in the future. For instance, the government may force all NPS money in government bonds in order to finance its fiscal deficit in times of crisis. Anyone who believes that such changes may not occur is dangerously naive. The government will be tempted to use your money for its finances, even if that damages you financially. I have no doubt that they will fall to such a temptation. The age of socialism is upon us. The time when one can be arbitrarily labelled too rich to be spared tax is here.
Intelligent financial planning demands that you invest in NPS and EPF. Intelligent financial planning also requires that you do not depend entirely only on these schemes. NPS and EPF are necessary, but not even remotely sufficient.
Our view: if you do not have a healthy equity and debt exposure through Mutual Funds, your financial plan will not work. It just won't. The math does not add up.